No, they're not...as you could be forgiven for assuming (ff my just-posted, intricately-titled but contentless blogpost) - zilch. But, seeing as I want to get back to Freeview Channel '13' (channel 10 upon our TV), i.e. live A.B.C. election coverage, and have been extremely conflicted up to now...going back and forth (so as not to miss too much, or anything truly significant in the TV coverage)...my predictions (as a once-budding psephologist - from my Political Science/Studies days at varsity) are - to be extremely succinct - as follows...
Following next TV break!
Though I'll freely admit, at least this morning-ish, I fully expected the Dems to clean up in the House (of Representatives), while the Republicans did much better than expected in the Senate, even to attaining a wide margin (e.g. 55-60 senators or so)...
this one thing I've fully expected/supposed/imagined would occur...and indeed, thus far it has - with spades: that the Democratic Party - *just like their Republican Party counterparts - would/will (each/both) do extremely well...much better than predicted...in their geographical strongholds/bases.
And thus and so I'm anticipating the Republicans to sweep the Bible Belt and/or the Deep South, the blue-collar, working-class Reagan Democratic territories, and the 'old-fashioned', traditional Republican Midwest. While the Democrats ****sweep their northeastern, industrial heartland and the Great Lakes/Northern Midwest, and do especially well in the West (plus mountain states, e.g. the likes of urbane **Colorado)...
Vis-a-vis Gubernatorial (Governor) Races: Quite aside from political predictions as such, I hope the extreme racist innuendoes and the like being hauled out in the dying days of the midterms in Republican campaign ads (in *****Georgia, and maybe Florida) are simply appalling/awful/ ghastly. And so I'm hoping they backfire - bigtime - though noting the much-under-reported closet racism of many (especially southern) Americans I'm not so sure on that score...esp. in ******Georgia's close race between the potential first female black American Governor, Stacey Abrams, and incumbent, Secretary of State - and election-rigger extraordinaire (take a bow, Kathleen what'shername from Presidential Election 2000) Kemp...sorry, his first name presently eludes me...
*As one wag (i.e. political commentator/pundit) put it earlier this afternoon (NZ-time), it's essentially turned into/become "a battle between demography and geography" - "the Republicans have a hold [on the latter], the Democrats [on the former]".
**And, guess what, Colorado's so far going 'according to script', as is Pennsylvania and ***New Jersey. (****The Democrats are presently on a roll, and now look set to achieve their House win.)
***Though for NJ to re-elect the scandal-ridden Menendez says something...though exit polls show the same voters gave him a 27% approval rating for having high ethics!
*****Though it's now looking bad/extremely problematic for Democratic hopeful Gillem's chances.
******Hoping former President (and Georgia Governor) Jimmy Carter will live to see the election of Georgia's first black, and first female black Governor to boot!
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